Is There a Demand for Reverse Mortgages in China? Evidence from Two Online Surveys

发布时间:2019-01-29


ShanghaiTech SEM Working Paper No. 2019-002


Katja Hanewald 

ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CEPAR), UNSW Sydney

Hazel Bateman

UNSW Sydney, and CEPAR

Hanming  Fang

University of Pennsylvania; ShanghaiTech University; and CEPAR

Shang Wu

First State Super and CEPAR

  

Reverse mortgages provide an alternative source of retirement funding by allowing older homeowners to borrow against their home. However, a recent pilot program of reserve mortgage products in several large Chinese cities saw almost no take up. To ascertain the demand for reverse mortgages in China, we conduct and analyze two online surveys that focus respectively on homeowners aged 45-65 as potential purchasers, and on adult children in the 20-49 age group representing children of potential purchasers. We address the reported shortcomings of the pilot reverse mortgage product by testing an improved product design presented in a clear and comprehensive format. In stark contrast, we find that 89% of older Chinese homeowners would be interested in this new reverse mortgage product, and 84% of adult children would recommend such a product to their parents. Participants in both surveys reported that they would use the reverse mortgage payments to fund a more comfortable retirement and to pay for better medical treatments and aged care services. Respondents’ interest in reverse mortgages was associated with their familiarity and understanding of the product, and its perceived potential to address liquidity constraints in retirement. Health status, aged care preferences and proxies for intergenerational links were also important. Our results are contrary to the common perception of intergenerational expectations of wealth transfer in China, and provide new evidence in support of the potential development of China’s reverse mortgage market.hanghaiTech University


Keywords: Reverse mortgage demand, Retirement income, Housing, China


Date Written: January, 2019


Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3317321


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